Stanislaus County · 2026 General Likely Voters
Pick a jurisdiction — countywide first, then every political geography · universe as of 2026-08-25 · not election results
Stanislaus County — Countywide
99,258 voted in the 2026 Primary · 192,794 likely General Election voters
+94.2% more likely voters than 26P turnout
Congressional Districts · 2
State Senate Districts · 1
State Assembly Districts · 2
Supervisorial Districts · 5
Supervisorial District 1
+84.0% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+19.2 → R+15.3
Supervisorial District 2
+90.7% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+20.3 → R+17.0
Supervisorial District 4
+87.1% more likely voters than 26P turnout · D+1.4 → D+3.4
Supervisorial District 3
+96.6% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+0.7 → D+3.7
Supervisorial District 5
+124.1% more likely voters than 26P turnout · D+12.0 → D+15.2
Cities · 10
City of Modesto
+91.0% more likely voters than 26P turnout · D+2.2 → D+4.1
Unincorporated
+82.5% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+27.6 → R+19.7
City of Turlock
+95.1% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+10.8 → R+8.8
City of Ceres
+125.2% more likely voters than 26P turnout · D+12.1 → D+14.8
City of Oakdale
+84.4% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+32.6 → R+29.1
City of Riverbank
+107.7% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+4.8 → R+1.4
City of Patterson
+120.4% more likely voters than 26P turnout · D+25.3 → D+24.1
City of Newman
+117.3% more likely voters than 26P turnout · D+6.3 → D+10.5
City of Hughson
+91.2% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+29.8 → R+25.6
City of Waterford
+106.3% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+31.2 → R+22.5
City Council Districts · 22
Modesto Council District 6
+88.3% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+4.7 → R+3.3
Modesto Council District 5
+79.4% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+2.4 → R+2.0
Modesto Council District 4
+85.6% more likely voters than 26P turnout · D+1.3 → D+2.7
Modesto Council District 1
+93.6% more likely voters than 26P turnout · D+0.9 → D+2.7
Modesto Council District 3
+84.4% more likely voters than 26P turnout · D+3.4 → D+4.5
Turlock Council District 3
+91.2% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+15.7 → R+15.6
Modesto Council District 2
+150.3% more likely voters than 26P turnout · D+35.7 → D+34.8
Turlock Council District 1
+73.2% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+20.1 → R+18.1
Turlock Council District 4
+109.4% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+6.3 → R+5.4
Turlock Council District 2
+125.5% more likely voters than 26P turnout · D+12.1 → D+13.3
Ceres Council District 1
+104.1% more likely voters than 26P turnout · D+2.9 → D+7.9
Ceres Council District 2
+148.9% more likely voters than 26P turnout · D+22.9 → D+24.7
Ceres Council District 3
+124.1% more likely voters than 26P turnout · D+15.1 → D+14.9
Riverbank Council District 4
+103.0% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+4.4 → R+4.2
Ceres Council District 4
+131.7% more likely voters than 26P turnout · D+9.6 → D+10.8
Riverbank Council District 3
+88.0% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+14.3 → R+10.6
Patterson Council District 1
+117.3% more likely voters than 26P turnout · D+34.3 → D+32.2
Patterson Council District 4
+130.0% more likely voters than 26P turnout · D+19.9 → D+20.6
Riverbank Council District 2
+123.3% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+1.0 → D+2.3
Riverbank Council District 1
+126.6% more likely voters than 26P turnout · D+3.8 → D+9.4
Patterson Council District 2
+121.0% more likely voters than 26P turnout · D+36.5 → D+30.8
Patterson Council District 3
+112.4% more likely voters than 26P turnout · D+8.4 → D+10.7
Community College Districts · 7
Yosemite Community College District Trustee Area 3
+90.2% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+18.8 → R+15.9
Yosemite Community College District Trustee Area 2
+89.8% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+16.5 → R+12.3
Yosemite Community College District Trustee Area 6
+82.3% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+0.5 → D+0.1
Yosemite Community College District Trustee Area 5
+90.0% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+5.1 → R+1.7
Yosemite Community College District Trustee Area 7
+122.2% more likely voters than 26P turnout · D+12.7 → D+15.5
Yosemite Community College District Trustee Area 4
+122.4% more likely voters than 26P turnout · D+14.3 → D+18.2
Yosemite Community College District Trustee Area 1
+69.8% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+45.2 → R+38.7
Unified School Districts · 47
Turlock Unified School District Trustee Area 4
+65.7% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+23.6 → R+22.8
Turlock Unified School District Trustee Area 1
+122.9% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+2.7 → R+0.6
Denair Unified School District
+75.4% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+39.0 → R+34.9
Turlock Unified School District Trustee Area 2
+101.7% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+11.4 → R+13.6
Turlock Unified School District Trustee Area 3
+106.2% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+4.1 → R+3.7
Oakdale Joint Unified School District Trustee Area 2
+67.5% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+44.8 → R+39.9
Oakdale Joint Unified School District Trustee Area 4
+65.5% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+41.7 → R+36.2
Turlock Unified School District Trustee Area 6
+94.4% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+16.6 → R+15.1
Turlock Unified School District Trustee Area 5
+97.5% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+2.0 → D+0.5
Turlock Unified School District Trustee Area 7
+134.4% more likely voters than 26P turnout · D+5.0 → D+7.3
Ceres Unified School District Trustee Area 2
+112.9% more likely voters than 26P turnout · D+7.8 → D+10.4
Oakdale Joint Unified School District Trustee Area 1
+82.7% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+37.9 → R+33.7
Ceres Unified School District Trustee Area 1
+98.0% more likely voters than 26P turnout · D+4.4 → D+7.1
Oakdale Joint Unified School District Trustee Area 5
+65.7% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+40.4 → R+37.9
Ceres Unified School District Trustee Area 5
+142.4% more likely voters than 26P turnout · D+24.8 → D+25.1
Ceres Unified School District Trustee Area 7
+133.3% more likely voters than 26P turnout · D+12.5 → D+13.1
Oakdale Joint Unified School District Trustee Area 3
+87.6% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+25.2 → R+23.3
Ceres Unified School District Trustee Area 6
+112.6% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+2.9 → D+5.1
Ceres Unified School District Trustee Area 3
+119.2% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+11.3 → D+2.9
Patterson Unified School District Trustee Area 1
+93.6% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+6.6 → D+0.3
Ceres Unified School District Trustee Area 4
+150.1% more likely voters than 26P turnout · D+4.7 → D+7.6
Hughson Unifed School District Trustee Area 2
+74.5% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+30.8 → R+31.6
Riverbank Unified School District Trustee Area 5
+128.4% more likely voters than 26P turnout · D+5.4 → D+6.4
Hughson Unifed School District Trustee Area 3
+96.5% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+38.9 → R+31.7
Patterson Unified School District Trustee Area 3
+119.0% more likely voters than 26P turnout · D+29.9 → D+27.9
Patterson Unified School District Trustee Area 7
+124.4% more likely voters than 26P turnout · D+34.3 → D+30.4
Patterson Unified School District Trustee Area 2
+115.0% more likely voters than 26P turnout · D+21.7 → D+17.9
Patterson Unified School District Trustee Area 5
+108.3% more likely voters than 26P turnout · D+29.7 → D+30.7
Hughson Unifed School District Trustee Area 5
+69.0% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+45.6 → R+42.5
Waterford Unified School District Trustee Area 5
+99.3% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+36.8 → R+29.5
Riverbank Unified School District Trustee Area 1
+96.0% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+29.9 → R+23.3
Riverbank Unified School District Trustee Area 3
+116.0% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+1.8 → D+4.5
Newman-Crows Landing Unified School District Trustee Area 4
+120.0% more likely voters than 26P turnout · D+16.9 → D+17.1
Riverbank Unified School District Trustee Area 2
+92.9% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+13.7 → R+7.4
Newman-Crows Landing Unified School District Trustee Area 1
+90.2% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+12.9 → R+5.9
Patterson Unified School District Trustee Area 6
+113.0% more likely voters than 26P turnout · D+1.7 → D+6.9
Newman-Crows Landing Unified School District Trustee Area 2
+107.5% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+5.4 → D+0.9
Waterford Unified School District Trustee Area 2
+93.0% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+37.5 → R+27.6
Hughson Unifed School District Trustee Area 1
+53.3% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+51.7 → R+47.6
Patterson Unified School District Trustee Area 4
+146.8% more likely voters than 26P turnout · D+14.9 → D+20.3
Newman-Crows Landing Unified School District Trustee Area 3
+109.2% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+4.0 → D+4.1
Newman-Crows Landing Unified School District Trustee Area 5
+141.6% more likely voters than 26P turnout · D+11.2 → D+15.6
Riverbank Unified School District Trustee Area 4
+128.7% more likely voters than 26P turnout · D+1.9 → D+15.8
Waterford Unified School District Trustee Area 1
+75.6% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+43.7 → R+35.7
Hughson Unifed School District Trustee Area 4
+116.0% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+6.2 → R+1.0
Waterford Unified School District Trustee Area 4
+80.0% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+40.7 → R+34.3
Waterford Unified School District Trustee Area 3
+161.9% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+14.8 → R+3.8
High School Districts · 7
Modesto City High School District Trustee Area 3
+79.5% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+6.2 → R+5.7
Modesto City High School District Trustee Area 1
+86.4% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+9.4 → R+5.2
Modesto City High School District Trustee Area 4
+95.3% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+3.3 → R+1.4
Modesto City High School District Trustee Area 2
+85.3% more likely voters than 26P turnout · D+3.0 → D+4.4
Modesto City High School District Trustee Area 5
+87.6% more likely voters than 26P turnout · D+0.6 → D+1.6
Modesto City High School District Trustee Area 6
+102.5% more likely voters than 26P turnout · D+2.9 → D+8.5
Modesto City High School District Trustee Area 7
+157.8% more likely voters than 26P turnout · D+38.4 → D+36.1
Elementary School Districts · 37
Modesto City Elementary School District
+99.1% more likely voters than 26P turnout · D+10.4 → D+13.1
Sylvan Elementary School District Trustee Area 1
+87.3% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+7.9 → R+7.4
Sylvan Elementary School District Trustee Area 5
+88.5% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+7.6 → R+5.0
Sylvan Elementary School District Trustee Area 3
+87.4% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+1.5 → R+0.3
Sylvan Elementary School District Trustee Area 2
+75.7% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+4.5 → R+4.9
Sylvan Elementary School District Trustee Area 4
+95.2% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+0.4 → D+1.2
Stanislaus Elementary School District Trustee Area 4
+69.3% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+23.1 → R+16.4
Stanislaus Elementary School District Trustee Area 2
+66.8% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+6.1 → R+6.0
Empire Elementary School District Trustee Area 1
+79.8% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+0.5 → R+0.6
Stanislaus Elementary School District Trustee Area 3
+107.8% more likely voters than 26P turnout · D+2.4 → D+9.5
Stanislaus Elementary School District Trustee Area 5
+98.5% more likely voters than 26P turnout · D+1.3 → R+0.8
Empire Elementary School District Trustee Area 2
+85.0% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+3.9 → R+3.7
Salida Union School District Trustee Area 4
+95.1% more likely voters than 26P turnout · D+1.0 → D+1.4
Hart-Ransom Elementary School District
+68.0% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+33.1 → R+26.2
Salida Union School District Trustee Area 5
+113.2% more likely voters than 26P turnout · D+2.7 → D+3.9
Empire Elementary School District Trustee Area 5
+137.2% more likely voters than 26P turnout · D+13.9 → D+11.1
Salida Union School District Trustee Area 2
+102.6% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+7.3 → R+5.5
Stanislaus Elementary School District Trustee Area 1
+111.8% more likely voters than 26P turnout · D+19.7 → D+17.1
Empire Elementary School District Trustee Area 4
+88.2% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+19.5 → R+13.7
Salida Union School District Trustee Area 3
+109.8% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+2.8 → D+6.5
Empire Elementary School District Trustee Area 3
+121.1% more likely voters than 26P turnout · D+13.3 → D+14.7
Salida Union School District Trustee Area 1
+75.8% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+22.4 → R+14.3
Chatom Elementary School District Trustee Area 3
+75.3% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+37.7 → R+38.2
Keyes Elementary School District Trustee Area 3
+180.0% more likely voters than 26P turnout · D+23.8 → D+14.3
Valley Home Joint Elementary School District
+57.3% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+62.4 → R+54.7
Keyes Elementary School District Trustee Area 4
+150.9% more likely voters than 26P turnout · D+7.5 → D+10.3
Hickman Elementary School District
+63.2% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+53.0 → R+46.9
Chatom Elementary School District Trustee Area 4
+83.9% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+41.9 → R+45.2
Paradise Elementary School District
+69.3% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+46.9 → R+38.7
Keyes Elementary School District Trustee Area 1
+70.7% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+41.3 → R+34.4
Shiloh Elementary School District
+93.3% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+57.9 → R+53.0
Keyes Elementary School District Trustee Area 5
+122.0% more likely voters than 26P turnout · D+15.6 → D+10.9
Knights Ferry Elementary School District
+59.2% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+45.9 → R+39.4
Gratton Elementary School District
+56.3% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+47.4 → R+42.8
Roberts Ferry Elementary School District
+48.3% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+53.6 → R+50.9
Chatom Elementary School District Trustee Area 2
+55.8% more likely voters than 26P turnout · R+46.8 → R+36.7
Chatom Elementary School District Trustee Area 1
+155.6% more likely voters than 26P turnout · D+38.9 → D+10.9
Every card links to that jurisdiction's own page (shareable URL) with maps, composition tables, sub-geography breakdowns, and the AI summary. Congressional and legislative cards open the full cross-county district.